The Invisible Billion: Extreme Poverty in Fragile States
Highlights that by 2040, 92% of the world's extreme poor will reside in fragile states, arguing that the international system is systematically mispricing risk.
Actionable analysis, foresight, and evidence systems to inform policy, finance, and institutional transformation.
Report
An analysis of blended finance mechanisms at the Humanitarian-Development-Peace (HDP) nexus, examining how to structure financial instruments to bridge the gap between emergency aid and long-term stability.
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Report
A strategic blueprint for designing adaptive governance systems, focusing on institutional continuity, crisis-adaptive architecture, and responsive data loops.
View Full PublicationHighlights that by 2040, 92% of the world's extreme poor will reside in fragile states, arguing that the international system is systematically mispricing risk.
Highlights the 50:1 ratio between humanitarian health aid and long-term development investment, proposing a new instrument architecture.
Evaluates the 2025 International Health Regulations amendments, noting progress on crisis architecture but highlighting failures in institutional continuity.
Identifies how traditional PBF designs can create perverse incentives during health emergencies and proposes responsive alternatives.
An evidence-based guide addressing private capital allocation in fragile states, challenging the "perceived risk" vs. "actual risk" gap.
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